Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 68.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 68.5% on 12 Jul 2026 and the low 49% on 29 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 62.5% on 11 Jul 2026. $4.41K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 1:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 15 points · 28 Jun 2026 – 12 Jul 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 12 Jul 2026 | 68.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| khamzat99 | No | 799.98 |
| donkabadonka | No | 142.85 |
| sampo-one | No | 83.33 |
| triklozoid | No | 15 |
| 101dalma | No | 13.38 |
| AntiVaxxer | No | 5 |
| derriver | No | 2.94 |
| RadioFreeZerg | No | 1.52 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between King Green and Terrance McKinney at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kin-ter1-2026-07-11
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