Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 41.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 8 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2026 to 1 Mar 2026, the highest close was 51% on 8 Feb 2026 and the lowest 25% on 17 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 36.5% on 12 Feb 2026. $1.6K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 6:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 8 Feb 2026 – 1 Mar 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | 51.0% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 41.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Oakledger | No | 5 |
| Veltrona453 | No | 5 |
| M81Lx | No | 5 |
| shahsports | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between King Green and Daniel Zellhuber at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh, scheduled for February 28, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kin-dan19-2026-02-28
| Vague-Parade | No | 5 |
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