Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 83.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 8 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2026 to 1 Mar 2026, the highest close was 51.5% on 21 Feb 2026 and the lowest 16.5% on 1 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 18% on 23 Feb 2026. $373.44 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 5:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 8 Feb 2026 – 1 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | 49.5% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 16.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Utter-Downgrade | Yes | 34 |
| Oakledger | Yes | 5 |
| Veltrona453 | Yes | 5 |
| M81Lx | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kevin Borjas and Imanol Rodriguez at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh, scheduled for February 28, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kev15-ima1-2026-02-28
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
| Vague-Parade | Yes | 5 |
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