Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 70.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 26 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 26 Mar 2026 to 12 Apr 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53.5% on 28 Mar 2026 and the lowest 29.5% on 12 Apr 2026. $134.31 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 13, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 26 Mar 2026 – 12 Apr 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 50.5% |
| 12 Apr 2026 | 29.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 29.31 |
| ShahRiazKhan | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kevin Holland and Randy Brown at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kev-ran3-2026-04-11
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
