Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 5 Jul 2026 to 11 Jul 2026, the highest close was 64.5% on 10 Jul 2026 and the lowest 50% on 5 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 50% on 11 Jul 2026.
Polymarket record as of Jul 11, 5:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 5 Jul 2026 – 11 Jul 2026, chart shows 45%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 11 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kevin Holland and Jacobe Smith at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18
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