Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 5 Jul 2026 to 11 Jul 2026, the highest close was 64.5% on 10 Jul 2026 and the lowest 50% on 5 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 64.5% on 10 Jul 2026.
Polymarket record as of Jul 11, 5:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 5 Jul 2026 – 11 Jul 2026, chart shows 45%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 11 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacobe Smith defeats Kevin Holland at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18
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