Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 5 Jul 2026 to 11 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50% on 5 Jul 2026 and the lowest 35.5% on 10 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 35.5% on 10 Jul 2026.
Polymarket record as of Jul 11, 5:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 5 Jul 2026 – 11 Jul 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 11 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kevin Holland and Jacobe Smith at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kev-jac21-2026-07-18
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