
Resolved Barber on 7 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Barber at 66.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 29 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 29 Nov 2025 to 7 Dec 2025, the highest close was 50% on 29 Nov 2025 and the lowest 33.5% on 7 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 38% on 30 Nov 2025. $301.6K traded over the market's life.
78 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 29 Nov 2025 – 7 Dec 2025, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 7 Dec 2025 | 33.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| thepunterwhopunts | Silva | 44.22K |
| xfile | Silva | 8.75K |
| anon333 | Silva | 8.27K |
| estebanxoxooo | Silva | 5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Silva" if Karine Silva is officially declared the winner of the fight against Maycee Barber at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2, scheduled for December 6, 2025. It will resolve to "Barber" if Maycee Barber is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 20, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kar5-may-2025-12-06
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| Meatball407 | Silva | 4.29K |
| Roro77 | Silva | 3.94K |
| 4-seas | Silva | 3.4K |
| almet | Silva | 2.03K |
| Woahlosst | Silva | 1.12K |
| MoodyBiscuit | Silva | 1.11K |