Analytics
Resolved Luana Santos on 20 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Luana Santos at 50.5%. Yes opened at 32.5% on 31 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 31 May 2026 to 20 Jun 2026, the highest close was 60.5% on 10 Jun 2026 and the lowest 32.5% on 31 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 60.5% on 10 Jun 2026. $509.2K traded over the market's life.
141 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 21, 10:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 31 May 2026 – 20 Jun 2026, chart shows 20%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 May 2026 | 32.5% |
| 20 Jun 2026 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wr0ngw4yb3tt0r | Karol Rosa | 79.57K |
| 6yuyurrg | Karol Rosa | 12.82K |
| ve3693 | Karol Rosa | 9.43K |
| fishingforprofits | Karol Rosa | 2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Karol Rosa" if Karol Rosa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Luana Santos at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026. It will resolve to "Luana Santos" if Luana Santos is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| dovetail | Karol Rosa | 1.8K |
| 10scat | Karol Rosa | 1.13K |
| bogemika | Karol Rosa | 1.08K |
| sidekicks1 | Karol Rosa | 1K |
| keith80 | Karol Rosa | 650 |
| eskillo | Karol Rosa | 583.33 |
