Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 90%. Yes opened at 50% on 5 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 11 Jul 2026 and the low 10% on 19 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 15% on 15 Jul 2026. $12K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 20, 3:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 5 Jul 2026 – 19 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 19 Jul 2026 | 10.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 1.07K |
| issacpphpotp | Yes | 665.63 |
| fortiche99 | Yes | 325 |
| Juontaja | Yes | 228.07 |
| melttex | Yes | 192.31 |
| juanitooo12358 | Yes | 180.13 |
| plsbepee | Yes | 177.78 |
| Carefree-Quarter | Yes | 133.33 |
| nextlife12 | Yes | 132.81 |
| Keen Horizon 27DB | Yes | 106.07 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kamaru Usman and Dricus Du Plessis at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kam-dri-2026-07-18
New to prediction markets?
