Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 50.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 10 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 10 May 2026 to 30 May 2026, the highest close was 53% on 28 May 2026 and the lowest 35% on 11 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 35% on 11 May 2026. $64.74 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 31, 1:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 10 May 2026 – 30 May 2026, chart shows 30%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 May 2026 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jkkjhgfr | No | 3.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Kai Asakura" if Kai Asakura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Cameron Smotherman at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo, scheduled for May 30, 2026. It will resolve to "Cameron Smotherman" if Cameron Smotherman is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kai6-cam6-2026-05-30
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