Analytics
Resolved No on 30 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 87%. Yes opened at 50% on 10 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 10 May 2026 to 30 May 2026, the highest close was 51% on 20 May 2026 and the lowest 13% on 30 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 30.5% on 27 May 2026. $338.49 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 31, 12:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 10 May 2026 – 30 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 May 2026 | 13.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lordknott | Yes | 150.61 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Elementary-Concentrate | Yes | 15.87 |
| Past-Misrepresentation | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Kai Asakura" if Kai Asakura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Cameron Smotherman at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo, scheduled for May 30, 2026. It will resolve to "Cameron Smotherman" if Cameron Smotherman is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kai6-cam6-2026-05-30
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