Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 2 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 2 Apr 2026 and the low 11.5% on 4 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 11.5% on 4 Apr 2026. $1.01K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 5, 10:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 2 Apr 2026 – 4 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Apr 2026 | 50.5% |
| 4 Apr 2026 | 11.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ludwig14 | Yes | 995 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 5.25 |
| ShahRiazKhan | Yes | 5 |
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Kai Kamaka III" if Kai Kamaka III is officially declared the winner of the fight against Dakota Hope at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026. It will resolve to "Dakota Hope" if Dakota Hope is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kai2-dhope-2026-04-04
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