Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 65.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 72.5% on 6 Jun 2026 and the low 49.5% on 4 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 72.5% on 6 Jun 2026. $809.09 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 8, 12:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 1 Jun 2026 – 7 Jun 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 7 Jun 2026 | 65.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| the-generate | No | 40 |
| TradeCat | No | 20 |
| cash-bundren | No | 5.56 |
| shahsports | No | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Junior Tafa and Iwo Baraniewski at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jun4-iwo-2026-06-06
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