Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 54%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 1 Jun 2026 to 7 Jun 2026, the highest close was 74.5% on 5 Jun 2026 and the lowest 42.5% on 6 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 42.5% on 6 Jun 2026. $5.06K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 8, 1:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 1 Jun 2026 – 7 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 7 Jun 2026 | 54.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Meowtchi | No | 579.24 |
| Mispriced47 | No | 349.14 |
| Lavincey | No | 25 |
| mirabu | No | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iwo Baraniewski defeats Junior Tafa at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jun4-iwo-2026-06-06
| shahsports | No | 5 |
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