Analytics
Resolved Iwo Baraniewski on 7 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Iwo Baraniewski at 78.5%. Yes opened at 28% on 1 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 1 Jun 2026 to 7 Jun 2026, the highest close was 28% on 1 Jun 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 7 Jun 2026. $546.49K traded over the market's life.
80 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 8, 1:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 1 Jun 2026 – 7 Jun 2026, chart shows 15%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jun 2026 | 28.0% |
| 7 Jun 2026 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wr0ngw4yb3tt0r | Junior Tafa | 29.94K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Junior Tafa | 3.15K |
| NewTeamSosed4 | Junior Tafa | 3.02K |
| themmaguru | Junior Tafa |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Junior Tafa" if Junior Tafa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Iwo Baraniewski at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026. It will resolve to "Iwo Baraniewski" if Iwo Baraniewski is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jun4-iwo-2026-06-06
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 2.45K |
| lhbcrypto | Junior Tafa | 1.36K |
| Complicated-Chassis | Junior Tafa | 1K |
| Left-Buffet | Junior Tafa | 1K |
| BearToast | Junior Tafa | 781.19 |
| Webbed-Appointment | Junior Tafa | 714.29 |
| SEILMA | Junior Tafa | 700 |
