Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 10 daily closes on record from 20 Jul 2026 to 29 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 28 Jul 2026 and the lowest 48% on 24 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 49%.
Polymarket record as of Jul 29, 12:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 20 Jul 2026 – 29 Jul 2026, chart shows 44%–56%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2026 | 49.0% |
| 29 Jul 2026 | 50.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Josias Musasa and Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jos56-mar92-2026-08-01
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