Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 6 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 25 Jan 2026, the highest close was 52.5% on 24 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 25 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 52 points down, to 0.5% on 25 Jan 2026. $1.48K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 26, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 25 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 25.5% |
| 25 Jan 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 288 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 285 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 223 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 124 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Josh Hokit and Denzel Freeman at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jos52-den11-2026-01-24
| lemzz | Yes | 73.53 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 44 |
| Misty Horizon F967 | Yes | 25 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 11 |
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