Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 30.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 15 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 15 Feb 2026 to 22 Feb 2026, the highest close was 51% on 16 Feb 2026 and the lowest 24.5% on 18 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 24.5% on 18 Feb 2026. $642.86 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 22, 4:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 15 Feb 2026 – 22 Feb 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 22 Feb 2026 | 30.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Misty Horizon F967 | No | 30 |
| 13klklas | No | 6 |
| Cobalt Scout A2CB | No | 5.63 |
| Oakledger | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacobe Smith defeats Josiah Harrell at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez, scheduled for February 21, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jos50-jac21-2026-02-21
| Veltrona453 | No | 5 |
| shahsports | No | 5 |
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