Analytics
Resolved Kevin Vallejos on 15 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Kevin Vallejos at 82.5%. The Josh Emmett side opened at 36% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 36% on 6 Mar 2026 and the low 17.5% on 15 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 25.5% on 7 Mar 2026.
200 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 6:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Josh Emmett price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 6 Mar 2026 – 15 Mar 2026, chart shows 10%–40%
| Observed | Josh Emmett price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | 36.0% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 17.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Momentumtrades | Josh Emmett | 22K |
| sunflowaa | Josh Emmett | 20K |
| elizabethmclaughlin | Josh Emmett | 8.07K |
| smegma3000 | Josh Emmett | 6.11K |
| jizzbucket57 | Josh Emmett | 6.07K |
| Rapid Comet CEFF | Josh Emmett | 5.05K |
| EIM22 | Josh Emmett | 5K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Josh Emmett | 3.05K |
| Lumpy-Boulder | Josh Emmett | 2.23K |
| Pleasing-Morale | Josh Emmett | 1.91K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Josh Emmett" if Josh Emmett is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kevin Vallejos at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos, scheduled for March 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Kevin Vallejos" if Kevin Vallejos is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jos3-kev16-2026-03-14
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