Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 32.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 17 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 51% on 1 Jun 2026 and the low 27.5% on 2 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 27.5% on 2 Jun 2026. $88.88 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 7, 10:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 17 May 2026 – 6 Jun 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 6 Jun 2026 | 32.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| the-generate | No | 50.39 |
| shahsports | No | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Joanderson Brito and Jordan Leavitt at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-joa4-jor10-2026-06-06
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