Analytics
Resolved Sean Brady on 10 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Sean Brady at 36.5%. Yes opened at 37% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 63.5% on 10 May 2026 and the low 36% on 23 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 63.5% on 10 May 2026. $1.67M traded over the market's life.
478 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 11, 8:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 19 points · 22 Apr 2026 – 10 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 37.0% |
| 10 May 2026 | 63.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dishonest-Bloom | Joaquin Buckley | 180.52K |
| mikesports | Joaquin Buckley | 159.01K |
| sunflowaa | Joaquin Buckley | 44.7K |
| Momentumtrades | Joaquin Buckley | 14.34K |
| timezonewarrior | Joaquin Buckley | 11.17K |
| VFASA12 | Joaquin Buckley | 10.51K |
| Princeselcaribe | Joaquin Buckley | 10K |
| 4AM-HSmm | Joaquin Buckley | 8.12K |
| Prolapse | Joaquin Buckley | 6.65K |
| BXLEE | Joaquin Buckley | 6.32K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Joaquin Buckley" if Joaquin Buckley is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sean Brady at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Sean Brady" if Sean Brady is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-joa3-sea4-2026-05-09
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