Analytics
Resolved No on 10 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 50% on 3 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 3 May 2026 to 10 May 2026, the highest close was 57% on 5 May 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 10 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 0.4% on 10 May 2026. $820.2 traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 11, 1:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 3 May 2026 – 10 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 10 May 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Weiyutangclan | Yes | 85 |
| Lexa233 | Yes | 61.64 |
| Tsol23 | Yes | 34.48 |
| Identical-Decline | Yes | 33.85 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Jim Miller" if Jim Miller is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jared Gordon at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Jared Gordon" if Jared Gordon is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jim2-jar1-2026-05-09
| Leeeor | Yes | 25 |
| Silent-Stench | Yes | 5 |
| Denizen | Yes | 3.45 |
| Mispriced47 | No | 0.01 |
| samwoolley | Yes | 0.01 |
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