Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 82.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 8 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 8 Jul 2026 to 18 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 11 Jul 2026 and the lowest 16% on 17 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 18.5% on 16 Jul 2026. $118.51 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 19, 11:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 8 Jul 2026 – 18 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 18 Jul 2026 | 17.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| triklozoid | Yes | 4.01 |
| snappyreddragon | No | 0.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani and Seokhyeon Ko at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jea2-seo1-2026-07-18
New to prediction markets?
