Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 8 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 8 Jul 2026 to 18 Jul 2026, the highest close was 66% on 13 Jul 2026 and the lowest 18% on 17 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 23% on 16 Jul 2026. $1.25K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 19, 11:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 8 Jul 2026 – 18 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 18 Jul 2026 | 23.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ggggiantttt | Yes | 357.93 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Yes | 28.18 |
| gohavas | Yes | 17.86 |
| AntiVaxxer | Yes | 5.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Seokhyeon Ko defeats Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jea2-seo1-2026-07-18
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Rocks3 | Yes | 2.04 |
| snappyreddragon | No | 0.04 |
