Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 71%. Yes opened at 51% on 14 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 14 Jun 2026 to 27 Jun 2026, the highest close was 51.5% on 20 Jun 2026 and the lowest 29% on 27 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 31% on 24 Jun 2026. $220.74 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 28, 2:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 14 Jun 2026 – 27 Jun 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2026 | 51.0% |
| 27 Jun 2026 | 29.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| opusrelease | Yes | 121.95 |
| Heavenly-Justification | Yes | 35.23 |
| jemsan | Yes | 12.5 |
| askarta | Yes | 9.76 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Javier Reyes defeats Kaan Ofli at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres, scheduled for June 27, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jav3-kaa-2026-06-27
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