Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 7 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 7 Feb 2026 to 8 Feb 2026, the highest close was 50% on 7 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 8 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 50 points down, to 0.5% on 8 Feb 2026. $2.53K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 9, 12:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 7 Feb 2026 – 8 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 8 Feb 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| costacollectionmx | Yes | 100 |
| Misty Horizon F967 | Yes | 25 |
| Cobalt Scout A2CB | Yes | 5.63 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Javid Basharat and Gianni Vazquez at UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira, scheduled for February 7, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jav-gia2-2026-02-07
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
