Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 20 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 20 Jul 2026 and the low 11% on 1 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 11.5% on 31 Jul 2026. $317.77 traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 7:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 20 Jul 2026 – 1 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2026 | 49.5% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 11.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| True-Seizure | Yes | 11.11 |
| Rashed113 | Yes | 10.6 |
| askarta | Yes | 10 |
| Biggeropossum | Yes | 9.89 |
| CoocooCal | Yes | 9.09 |
| Makikki | Yes | 5.56 |
| Rocks3 | Yes | 0.26 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Jan Blachowicz" if Jan Blachowicz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Navajo Stirling at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026. It will resolve to "Navajo Stirling" if Navajo Stirling is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jan-nav-2026-08-01
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