Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 36.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 20 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 20 Jul 2026 to 1 Aug 2026, the highest close was 63.5% on 1 Aug 2026 and the lowest 48.5% on 22 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 58% on 28 Jul 2026. $10.06K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 7:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 20 Jul 2026 – 1 Aug 2026, chart shows 45%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2026 | 49.0% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 63.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| IGBGMN | Yes | 1.95K |
| siick | Yes | 533.24 |
| pagliacci4 | Yes | 300 |
| Carefree-Quarter | Yes | 300 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Jan Blachowicz" if Jan Blachowicz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Navajo Stirling at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026. It will resolve to "Navajo Stirling" if Navajo Stirling is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jan-nav-2026-08-01
| gyranda | Yes | 198 |
| Sharel | Yes | 100.17 |
| peakvision | Yes | 70.5 |
| Eugene.Sales | Yes | 61.16 |
| Remorseful-Espadrille | Yes | 38.56 |
| 0xtrador | Yes | 29.98 |
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