Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92%. Yes opened at 49% on 20 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 20 Jul 2026 to 1 Aug 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 30 Jul 2026 and the lowest 8% on 1 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 8.5% on 31 Jul 2026. $1.11K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 7:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 20 Jul 2026 – 1 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2026 | 49.0% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 8.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RAJAGO | Yes | 327.25 |
| Ivory Raven CE38 | Yes | 167.8 |
| Admirable-Okra | Yes | 122.22 |
| tAir7 | Yes | 100.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Jan Blachowicz" if Jan Blachowicz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Navajo Stirling at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026. It will resolve to "Navajo Stirling" if Navajo Stirling is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jan-nav-2026-08-01
| Weavy | Yes | 22.22 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
