Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 53%. Yes opened at 50% on 29 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 29 Nov 2025 to 7 Dec 2025, the highest close was 50% on 29 Nov 2025 and the lowest 46% on 30 Nov 2025. $2.53K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 29 Nov 2025 – 7 Dec 2025, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 7 Dec 2025 | 47.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.07K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 356 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 234 |
| iInXMnjeK | Yes | 214 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Blachowicz" if Jan Blachowicz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bogdan Guskov at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2, scheduled for December 6, 2025. It will resolve to "Guskov" if Bogdan Guskov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 20, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jan-bog1-2025-12-06
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 192 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 183 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 139 |
| displays | Yes | 10 |
| Djugashvili | Yes | 3.7 |
| ISKRA | Yes | 1.85 |
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