Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84%. Yes opened at 50% on 29 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 29 Nov 2025 to 7 Dec 2025, the highest close was 50% on 29 Nov 2025 and the lowest 12.5% on 1 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 13.5% on 30 Nov 2025. $3.06K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 29 Nov 2025 – 7 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 7 Dec 2025 | 16.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.07K |
| GooberThaGooner | Yes | 500 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 356 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 287 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Blachowicz" if Jan Blachowicz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bogdan Guskov at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2, scheduled for December 6, 2025. It will resolve to "Guskov" if Bogdan Guskov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 20, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jan-bog1-2025-12-06
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 234 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 192 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 183 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 139 |
| Strident-Sabre | Yes | 12.38 |
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