Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
The high was 56% on 30 Nov 2025 and the low 49.5% on 7 Dec 2025. A week ago Yes was at 56%. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 56% on 30 Nov 2025.
$834.31K has traded since listing.
The largest Blachowicz position is Nostradamus67 with 19 shares; the largest Guskov position is dim12 with 0.
Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 9 points · 29 Nov 2025 – 7 Dec 2025 · axis zoomed to 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | 50.5% |
| 7 Dec 2025 | 49.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Nostradamus67 | Blachowicz | 19.23 |
| Elegant-Messy | Blachowicz | 8.33 |
| Crimson Summit AFBE | Blachowicz | 1.35 |
| dim12 | Guskov | 0.07 |
| Rorik666 | Blachowicz | 0.07 |
| DidimusD | Blachowicz | 0.07 |
| Unripe-Revolver | Blachowicz | 0.04 |
| dablueman | Guskov | 0.02 |
| phoenixrising | Blachowicz | 0.02 |
| ken5 | Guskov | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Blachowicz" if Jan Blachowicz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bogdan Guskov at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2, scheduled for December 6, 2025. It will resolve to "Guskov" if Bogdan Guskov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 20, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jan-bog1-2025-12-06
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