Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 20 daily closes on record from 10 May 2026 to 29 May 2026, the highest close was 69.5% on 17 May 2026 and the lowest 31% on 19 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 31.5%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 31% on 19 May 2026.
Polymarket record as of May 29, 2:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 10 May 2026 – 29 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 May 2026 | 41.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Jake Matthews and Muslim Salikhov at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo, scheduled for May 30, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jak-mus-2026-05-30
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