Analytics
“UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Muslim Salikhov (Welterweight, Prelims)” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Jake Matthews and Muslim Salikhov. The Jake Matthews price is the market's implied probability that Jake Matthews wins. Quotes can change as orders are updated or filled; a quoted price does not guarantee an available fill at that price.
The venue reports this market as closed. Its scheduled close is May 31, 2026 UTC. No resolved outcome is inferred from a closed or suspended state.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 18 daily price points from May 10, 2026 UTC to May 27, 2026 UTC (Yes between 46.5% and 66.5%); 6 loaded holder wallets, the largest ten holding 100.0% of the loaded shares; 409 recent public fills from 120 wallets. Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
This market will resolve to "Jake Matthews" if Jake Matthews is officially declared the winner of the fight against Muslim Salikhov at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo, scheduled for May 30, 2026. It will resolve to "Muslim Salikhov" if Muslim Salikhov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jak-mus-2026-05-30
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
Daily closes of the Jake Matthews price, Polymarket CLOB · 18 points · 10 May 2026 – 27 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–80%
| Observed | Jake Matthews price |
|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 May 2026 | 50.5% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| fedorovPVO | Muslim Salikhov | 546.67 |
| Edmundsd | Jake Matthews | 37.2 |
| Bright Tide EEAE | Jake Matthews |
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ implies 21.5%, but fees, available depth and who participates can affect that price. A market price is not a calibrated forecast or a verdict.
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Reported dollars resting in the order book. The available size on your side, at the prices you would accept, determines what can fill. A large total alone does not guarantee an execution near the quoted price.
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Observed closes of the Yes price over the market's life. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
| 12.21 |
| Surprised-Coverage | Jake Matthews | 5.77 |
| fespvel | Muslim Salikhov | 2 |
| Cylindrical-Heyday | Muslim Salikhov | 1.67 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
