Analytics
Resolved No on 30 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 19 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 19 May 2026 to 30 May 2026, the highest close was 50% on 19 May 2026 and the lowest 25.5% on 30 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 39% on 28 May 2026. $98 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of May 31, 12:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 19 May 2026 – 30 May 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 May 2026 | 25.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Jake Matthews and Carlston Harris at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo, scheduled for May 30, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jak-car7-2026-05-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
