Analytics
Resolved No on 30 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 90%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 19 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 19 May 2026 to 30 May 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 19 May 2026 and the lowest 10% on 30 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 26% on 28 May 2026. $108 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 31, 12:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 19 May 2026 – 30 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 May 2026 | 50.5% |
| 30 May 2026 | 10.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Past-Misrepresentation | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Carlston Harris defeats Jake Matthews at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo, scheduled for May 30, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jak-car7-2026-05-30
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