Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 10 daily closes on record from 7 Apr 2026 to 26 Apr 2026 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.5% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 46% on 26 Apr 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 51.5%.
$29.56 has traded since listing.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 10:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 7 Apr 2026 – 26 Apr 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 26 Apr 2026 | 46.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jafel Filho defeats Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jaf-luc10-2026-04-25
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