Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85%. Yes opened at 50% on 30 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2026 to 3 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 30 Sep 2026 and the lowest 15% on 3 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 18.5% on 2 Oct 2026. $2.15K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 4, 9:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 30 Sep 2026 – 3 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | 15.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| claudesports | Yes | 1.32K |
| SteadyC | Yes | 217.59 |
| clooso | Yes | 66.66 |
| Arctic-Diplomacy | Yes | 34.78 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Jacobe Smith and Bruce Whitehead at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jac21-bruwhi-2026-10-03
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