Analytics
Resolved Axel Sola on 25 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Axel Sola at 63.5%. The Ismael Bonfim side opened at 40% on 12 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2026 to 25 Jul 2026, the highest close was 52% on 18 Jul 2026 and the lowest 18.5% on 13 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 50% on 14 Jul 2026. $752.76K traded over the market's life.
89 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 26, 6:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Ismael Bonfim price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 12 Jul 2026 – 25 Jul 2026
| Observed | Ismael Bonfim price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2026 | 40.0% |
| 25 Jul 2026 | 36.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| comon119 | Ismael Bonfim | 7.5K |
| WYNNERBACC | Ismael Bonfim | 4.33K |
| sts22 | Ismael Bonfim | 3.28K |
| Pithuca | Ismael Bonfim | 2.23K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Ismael Bonfim" if Ismael Bonfim is officially declared the winner of the fight against Axel Sola at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Axel Sola" if Axel Sola is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ism1-axe-2026-07-25
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| randypunt | Ismael Bonfim | 2K |
| 0xkainandabel | Ismael Bonfim | 1K |
| Digital-Portion | Ismael Bonfim | 810.81 |
| dovetail | Ismael Bonfim | 589.77 |
| Couch.Gambler | Ismael Bonfim | 567.05 |
| evanng | Ismael Bonfim | 519.04 |
