Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 63.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 31 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 53% on 7 Jun 2026 and the low 21% on 16 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 21% on 16 Jun 2026. $2.44K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 22, 1:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 22 points · 31 May 2026 – 21 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 21 Jun 2026 | 36.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| shoemanhere | Yes | 509 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 130 |
| minoycake | Yes | 45.05 |
| jemsan | Yes | 12.11 |
| Modern-Wolf | Yes | 9.53 |
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
| asasa1 | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Ion Cutelaba" if Ion Cutelaba is officially declared the winner of the fight against Navajo Stirling at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026. It will resolve to "Navajo Stirling" if Navajo Stirling is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ion-nav-2026-06-20
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