Analytics
Resolved Baraniewski on 7 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Baraniewski at 100%. The Aslan side opened at 50.5% on 29 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 29 Nov 2025 and the low 0.1% on 7 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 0.1% on 7 Dec 2025. $122.91K traded over the market's life.
66 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Aslan price, Polymarket CLOB · 9 points · 29 Nov 2025 – 7 Dec 2025
| Observed | Aslan price |
|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | 50.5% |
| 7 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SeriouslySirius | Aslan | 5.5K |
| Bulky-Wetbar | Aslan | 5K |
| xfile | Aslan | 3.88K |
| estebanxoxooo | Aslan | 3K |
| bmopxu6y45om | Aslan | 2.4K |
| vohrpwwzzlef | Aslan | 2.4K |
| leo0770 | Aslan | 2.35K |
| almet | Aslan | 2.22K |
| xt6uyuiguic | Aslan | 2K |
| guillermo-dog | Aslan | 1.94K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Aslan" if Ibo Aslan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Iwo Baraniewski at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2, scheduled for December 6, 2025. It will resolve to "Baraniewski" if Iwo Baraniewski is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 20, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ibo-iwo-2025-12-06
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
