Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 29 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 29 Nov 2025 and the low 35.5% on 2 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 36% on 30 Nov 2025. $1.26K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 9 points · 29 Nov 2025 – 7 Dec 2025 · axis zoomed to 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 7 Dec 2025 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.09K |
| PostLife | Yes | 30.91 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Henry Cejudo and Payton Talbott at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2, scheduled for December 6, 2025, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 20, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-hen-pay-2025-12-06
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
