Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 29 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 29 Nov 2025 and the low 23.5% on 7 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 24.5% on 30 Nov 2025. $2.83K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 9 points · 29 Nov 2025 – 7 Dec 2025 · axis zoomed to 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 7 Dec 2025 | 23.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.09K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 355 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 286 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 233 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 189 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 182 |
| PostLife | Yes | 35.88 |
| ISKRA | Yes | 3.03 |
| kreanga | Yes | 2.7 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Cejudo" if Henry Cejudo is officially declared the winner of the fight against Payton Talbott at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2, scheduled for December 6, 2025. It will resolve to "Talbott" if Payton Talbott is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 20, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-hen-pay-2025-12-06
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