Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 14 daily closes on record from 27 Jul 2026 to 9 Aug 2026, the highest close was 61.5% on 6 Aug 2026 and the lowest 43% on 3 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 43.5%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 61.5% on 6 Aug 2026.
$51.96 has traded since listing.
The largest position is custalt with 50 No shares.
Polymarket record as of Aug 10, 2:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 27 Jul 2026 – 9 Aug 2026, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2026 | 43.5% |
| 9 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| custalt | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Henrique da Silva Lopes defeats Louie Sutherland at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-hdasil-lou2-2026-08-08
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