Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 21%. Yes opened at 50% on 6 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 6 Dec 2025 to 14 Dec 2025, the highest close was 50% on 6 Dec 2025 and the lowest 20.5% on 7 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 20.5% on 7 Dec 2025. $1.71K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 15, 8:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 6 Dec 2025 – 14 Dec 2025, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 14 Dec 2025 | 21.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 642 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 236 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 207 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 183 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Guilherme Pat and Allen Frye Jr. at UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape, scheduled for December 13, 2025, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 27, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-gui2-all6-2025-12-13
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 168 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 153 |
| edima | No | 11.9 |
| hesure | No | 10 |
| assertequal | No | 8 |
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