Analytics
Resolved Pat on 14 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Pat at 61.5%. The Pat side opened at 54.5% on 6 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 6 Dec 2025 to 14 Dec 2025, the highest close was 61.5% on 14 Dec 2025 and the lowest 41% on 7 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 60.5% on 8 Dec 2025. $91.79K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 15, 8:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Pat price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 6 Dec 2025 – 14 Dec 2025, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Pat price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | 54.5% |
| 14 Dec 2025 | 61.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| c4c4 | Frye Jr. | 3.23K |
| morpheus23 | Frye Jr. | 3K |
| dsgdfhet34 | Frye Jr. | 1.03K |
| montagne | Frye Jr. | 341.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Pat" if Guilherme Pat is officially declared the winner of the fight against Allen Frye Jr. at UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape, scheduled for December 13, 2025. It will resolve to "Frye Jr." if Allen Frye Jr. is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 27, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-gui2-all6-2025-12-13
| swdmetamask | Frye Jr. | 256.67 |
| GooberThaGooner | Frye Jr. | 247.93 |
| Doryan0 | Frye Jr. | 128.82 |
| tararira | Frye Jr. | 100 |
| elchacoXXI | Frye Jr. | 81.95 |
| Pokapoka | Frye Jr. | 81.2 |
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