Analytics
Resolved Gregory Rodrigues on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Gregory Rodrigues at 40.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 18 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 18 Feb 2026 to 8 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 70% on 19 Feb 2026 and the lowest 45% on 23 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 45% on 23 Feb 2026.
215 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 5:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 18 Feb 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 59.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SammySledge | Brunno Ferreira | 144.88K |
| Anjun | Brunno Ferreira | 18.89K |
| 6yuyurrg | Brunno Ferreira | 15K |
| 8radio9 | Brunno Ferreira | 5.74K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Gregory Rodrigues" if Gregory Rodrigues is officially declared the winner of the fight against Brunno Ferreira at UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2, scheduled for March 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Brunno Ferreira" if Brunno Ferreira is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-gre3-bru8-2026-03-07
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| RipNDip | Brunno Ferreira | 3.06K |
| Saivestor | Brunno Ferreira | 3K |
| IAmHomelessNow | Brunno Ferreira | 3K |
| Svelte-Plenty | Brunno Ferreira | 2.44K |
| dechuan | Brunno Ferreira | 2.1K |
| Glossy-Numismatist | Brunno Ferreira | 2.06K |
