Analytics
Resolved No on 10 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 10 May 2026, the highest close was 72.5% on 4 May 2026 and the lowest 24% on 10 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 24% on 10 May 2026. $781.39 traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 11, 12:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 10 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 50.5% |
| 10 May 2026 | 24.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Donquixote00 | Yes | 80 |
| R.Baggio10 | Yes | 55.1 |
| CrovaxGargos | Yes | 39.58 |
| Past-Misrepresentation | Yes | 19.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Grant Dawson and Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-gra-mat13-2026-05-09
| Misty Beacon 74C3 | Yes | 12.65 |
| Keen Harbor 9FD0 | Yes | 7.84 |
| GuesseWho | Yes | 5.66 |
| 097235097 | Yes | 2.22 |
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