Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 18.5%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 11 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 11 Nov 2025 to 16 Nov 2025, the highest close was 73% on 13 Nov 2025 and the lowest 18.5% on 16 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 31% on 14 Nov 2025. $2.91K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 17, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 11 Nov 2025 – 16 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2025 | 51.5% |
| 16 Nov 2025 | 18.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 956 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | No | 707 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 227 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 131 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the fight between Gerald Meerschaert and Kyle Daukaus at UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev, scheduled for November 15, 2025, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve “No.” If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 29, 2025, this market will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ger1-kyl3-2025-11-15
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 124 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 109 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 71 |
| Solar Meteor 7A9A | No | 13 |
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